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The US Department of Defense (DoD) will become the largest shareholder in MP Materials (NYSE:MP) after agreeing to purchase US$400 million worth of preferred stock in the company.

MP Materials is known for owning and operating the only US rare earths mine.

The rare earths producer said the proceeds from the investment will fund the expansion of its processing capabilities at the Mountain Pass mine in California and support the construction of a second magnet manufacturing facility in the US.

The materials mined and processed by MP Materials are critical to the production of permanent magnets used in military systems, including the F-35 fighter jet, drones, and submarines.

The US has depended heavily on foreign imports for these materials — primarily from China, which accounted for about 70 percent of rare earth imports in 2023, according to the US Geological Survey.

In a press release issued on Thursday (July 10), MP Materials described the agreement as a ‘transformational public-private partnership.’ The company also said the deal will ‘dramatically accelerate the build-out of an end-to-end US rare earth magnet supply chain and reduce foreign dependency.’

The investment gives the Pentagon newly created preferred stock convertible into common shares, along with a 10-year warrant to buy additional stock at US$30.03 per share. If fully converted and exercised, the DoD would own 15 percent of MP Materials, based on current share counts as of Wednesday (July 9). That would exceed the 8.61 percent stake held by CEO James Litinsky and the 8.27 percent stake held by BlackRock Fund Advisors.

Litinsky emphasized that the deal does not equate to government control of the company. “This is not a nationalization,” he told CNBC. “We remain a thriving public company. We now have a great new partner in our economically largest shareholder, DoD, but we still control our company. We control our destiny. We’re shareholder driven.”

MP’s new magnet facility, called 10X, will increase the company’s magnet manufacturing capacity to 10,000 metric tons annually once it begins commissioning in 2028. The exact location of the facility has not yet been disclosed.

The Pentagon has committed to purchasing 100 percent of the magnets produced at the 10X facility for 10 years.

Additionally, the DoD will guarantee a minimum price of US$110 per kilogram for MP’s neodymium-praseodymium oxide, a key material for magnet production.

If market prices fall below that level, the Pentagon will pay the difference quarterly. In return, once the new facility is operational, the government will receive 30 percent of any upside above US$110 per kilogram.

To further support the buildout, MP Materials expects to receive a US$150 million loan from the Pentagon within 30 days to expand its heavy rare earth separation capabilities at Mountain Pass, the only active rare earth mine in the US.

It is also commissioning a magnetics facility in Texas, known as Independence, to bolster its downstream processing capabilities.

As the only domestic miner with vertically integrated capabilities and a clear path to rare earth magnet production at scale, MP Materials now sits at the center of the Biden-to-Trump era effort to bring critical minerals supply chains back to American soil.

Securities Disclosure: I, Giann Liguid, hold no direct investment interest in any company mentioned in this article.

This post appeared first on investingnews.com

Here’s a quick recap of the crypto landscape for Wednesday (July 9) as of 9:00 p.m. UTC.

Get the latest insights on Bitcoin, Ethereum and altcoins, along with a round-up of key cryptocurrency market news.

Bitcoin and Ethereum price update

Bitcoin’s (BTC) price peaked at US$111,744 as the market wrapped, a 2.7 percent increase in the last 24 hours. The day’s range for the cryptocurrency also brought a low of US$108,644.

Crypto analyst TradingShot believes Bitcoin may not experience another rally this cycle, despite projections exceeding US$160,000. This assessment is based on Bitcoin’s historical four year patterns.

According to TradingShot, Bitcoin has not broken out of its current upward channel to trigger the explosive rallies seen in 2017 and 2021. If the four year cycle holds, time is running out for such a breakout.

Ethereum (ETH) is priced at US$2,772.50, up by 6.3 percent over the past 24 hours. On Wednesday, the cryptocurrency hit a low of US$2,635.74 before rallying to finish the day at its peak, mirroring a broader market trend.

Altcoin price update

Bitcoin price performance, July 9, 2025.

Chart via TradingView.

  • Solana (SOL) was priced at US$157.12, up by 3.7 percent over 24 hours. Its lowest valuation as of Wednesday was US$153.45.
  • XRP was trading for US$2.42, up 4.5 percent in the past 24 hours. The cryptocurrency’s lowest valuation was US$2.36
  • Sui (SUI) was trading at US$3.05, up by 4.9 percent over the past 24 hours. Its lowest valuation was US$2.93.
  • Cardano (ADA) is priced at US$0.6217, up by 5.6 percent in the last 24 hours. Its lowest valuation as of Wednesday was US$0.6027

Today’s crypto news to know

US Senate committee gathers for hearing on digital assets

The US Senate Banking Committee held a hearing on Wednesday dubbed ‘From Wall Street to Web3’ to discuss proposed legislation regarding digital assets, including the Clarity Act.

Massachusetts Democrat Elizabeth Warren, a longtime crypto critic, said she is in favor of laws regulating digital assets that strengthen the financial system in the US, but criticized aspects of the Clarity Act that she said would allow non-crypto companies to “put their stocks on the blockchain,’ evading US Securities and Exchange Commission guidelines.

“That is a serious problem for our country,” she warned.

Ahead of the hearing, Warren sent a statement to analytical publication the Block, accusing Republicans of enabling “industry handouts” to crypto lobbyists. Other vocal critics of the bill include New York Attorney General Letitia James and the ranking member of the House Financial Services Committee Maxine Waters.

Both she and Warren have questioned the ethics of US President Donald Trump’s business ties to the industry. At the hearing, former chief White House ethics lawyer Richard Painter, who was invited to speak by Warren, said:

“We cannot have the people who are in charge of passing legislation and enforcing legislation, implementing legislation, have conflicts of interest with their official responsibilities. You should be divesting from crypto if you’re going to be regulating crypto.”

Lawmakers are now facing a September 30 deadline to define cryptocurrencies, address Trump’s crypto interests and finalize industry rules.

RLUSD gains traction via Transak integration and BNY Mellon custody

Transak, a Web3 onboarding infrastructure provider allowing users to buy and sell digital assets using traditional payment methods, officially integrated Ripple’s US-dollar pegged stablecoin, RLUSD.

The move expands the token’s reach to 8.3 million additional users across 64 countries.

“Transak has always strived to make finance truly accessible and that includes bringing on assets like RLUSD that balance blockchain ethos with compliance requirements,” said Sami Start, CEO and co-founder of Transak.

“With this integration, users gain access to one of the most thoughtfully designed stablecoins in the market, now available through a seamless and trusted fiat-to-crypto experience.”

The news was announced the same day Ripple chose Bank of New York Mellon to custody its USD reserves. This move by a traditional financial giant lends significant institutional credibility to Ripple’s stablecoin, which was built as an enterprise-grade stablecoin to improve the efficiency of cross-border transactions.

“As primary custodian for RLUSD, we’re proud to support the growth of digital assets by providing a differentiated platform, designed to meet the evolving needs of institutions in the digital assets ecosystem,” said Emily Portney, global head of asset servicing at Bank of New York Mellon.

South Korea to reclassify crypto businesses as venture companies

South Korea’s Ministry of SMEs and Startups announced Wednesday that it will lift current restrictions preventing crypto-related businesses from qualifying as venture companies. Firms in the virtual asset sector are currently restricted in their eligibility for various tax breaks and financial support due to crypto regulations implemented last year.

However, the minister said that the proposed amendment reflects “a shift in perception” regarding the industry.

“It is expected that the virtual asset business operators based on new technologies with innovation and business viability will be newly recognized as venture companies, and existing venture companies will also be able to promote virtual asset-related businesses,” the statement explains, “which will lead to the activation and expansion of the venture ecosystem and promote the fostering of the virtual asset industry.”

This change will be supported by the establishment of “legal and institutional safeguards” designed to protect users. Public comments on the proposal will be accepted by the ministry until August 18.

Tether reveals it holds US$8 billion in gold in private Swiss vault

Tether, the issuer behind the world’s largest stablecoin, USDT, has disclosed it holds nearly 80 metric tons of gold worth US$8 billion in a private Swiss vault, according to a Bloomberg report.

The company, which manages over US$159 billion in circulating stablecoins, says most of the gold is directly owned by Tether, making it one of the world’s largest private gold holders outside of sovereign institutions.

CEO Paolo Ardoino confirmed the gold is stored in a highly secure location in Switzerland, though he declined to disclose the exact facility for safety reasons.

The firm also operates a gold-backed token called XAUT, with each coin redeemable for one ounce of physical gold.

Tether’s increasing exposure to gold comes amid rising demand for safe-haven assets and ongoing concerns about US debt sustainability. However, new regulations in the US and EU may force the company to divest gold from USDT’s reserves if it seeks formal approval in those markets.

Trump Media files for Crypto Blue Chip ETF

Trump Media & Technology Group (NASDAQ:DJT) has filed to launch its third crypto-focused exchange-traded fund (ETF) under the Truth Social brand. Called the “Crypto Blue Chip ETF,’ the fund will aim to allocate 70 percent to Bitcoin, 15 percent to Ether and the remainder to Solana, Cronos and XRP.

This marks the latest move by the Trump-affiliated media company to expand its crypto investment footprint following two prior filings focused more narrowly on Bitcoin and Ether.

The ETF is set to trade on NYSE Arca, and is being developed in partnership with Crypto.com.

The company had earlier disclosed plans to raise US$2.5 billion to directly acquire Bitcoin. While Trump Media shares rose nearly 3 percent on the day of the announcement, it remains down over 40 percent year-to-date.

Sequans soars 43 percent on Bitcoin treasury strategy

Chipmaker Sequans Communications (NYSE:SQNS) saw its share price jump 43 percent after announcing a major pivot to a Bitcoin-based treasury reserve strategy. The firm raised US$384 million through equity and debt instruments to begin acquiring Bitcoin as a long-term corporate asset, emphasizing Bitcoin’s scarcity and independence from central banks as reasons behind the move and its potential to strengthen the company’s financial footing.

More than 40 institutional investors backed the fundraising, including convertible debentures and warrants that could bring in another US$57 million. The company plans to allocate future cash flows toward Bitcoin purchases.

Securities Disclosure: I, Giann Liguid, hold no direct investment interest in any company mentioned in this article.

Securities Disclosure: I, Meagen Seatter, hold no direct investment interest in any company mentioned in this article.

This post appeared first on investingnews.com

LONDON/NEW YORK, July 11 (Reuters) – Suppliers to Walmart WMT.N have delayed or put on hold some orders from garment manufacturers in Bangladesh, according to three factory owners and correspondence from a supplier seen by Reuters, as U.S. President Donald Trump’s threat of a 35% tariff on the textile hub disrupts business.

Bangladesh is the third-largest exporter of apparel to the United States, and it relies on the garment sector for 80% of its export earnings and 10% of its GDP. The factory owners all said they expected orders to fall if the August 1 tariffs go into effect, as they are unable to absorb that 35% rate.

Iqbal Hossain, managing director of garment manufacturer Patriot Eco Apparel Ltd, told Reuters an order for nearly 1 million swim shorts for Walmart was put on hold on Thursday due to the tariff threat.

“As we discussed please hold all below Spring season orders we are discussing here due to heavy Tariff % imposed for USA imports,” Faruk Saikat, assistant merchandising manager at Classic Fashion, wrote in an email to Hossain and others seen by Reuters. Classic Fashion is a supplier and buying agent that places orders for retailers.

“As per our management instruction we are holding Bangladesh production for time being and IN case Tariff issues settled then we will continue as we planned here.”

The hold was not decided by Walmart, Saikat told Reuters, but by Classic Fashion itself.

Walmart did not respond to a request for comment.

Bangladesh is currently in talks with the United States in Washington to try to negotiate a lower tariff. Trump in recent days has revived threats of higher levies on numerous nations.

“If the 35% tariff remains for Bangladesh, that will be very tough to sustain, honestly speaking, and there will not be as many orders as we have now,” said Mohiuddin Rubel, managing director at jeans manufacturer Denim Expert Ltd in Dhaka.

Rubel, whose company produces jeans for H&M HMb.ST and other retailers, said he expects clients will ask him to absorb part of the tariff, but added this would not be possible financially. Manufacturers have already absorbed part of the blanket 10% tariff imposed by the U.S. on April 2.

“Only probably the big, big companies can a little bit sustain (tariffs) but not the small and medium companies,” he said.

Retailers have front-loaded orders since Trump returned to the White House, anticipating higher tariffs. Jeans maker Levi’s LEVI.N, which imports from Bangladesh, said on Thursday it has 60% of the inventory it needs for the rest of 2025.

U.S. clothing imports from Bangladesh totaled $3.38 billion in the first five months of 2025, up 21% from the year-earlier period, according to U.S. International Trade Commission data.

Another Dhaka-based garment factory owner said an importer with whom he was negotiating a spring 2026 order of trousers for Walmart asked him on Thursday to wait a week before the order would be confirmed due to the tariff risk.

Hossain said he may look for more orders from European clients to make up for lost orders if the U.S. 35% tariff gets implemented, even if he has to cut prices to stimulate demand.

(Reuters reporting by Helen Reid in London and Siddharth Cavale in New York; Editing by David Gaffen and Matthew Lewis)

This post appeared first on NBC NEWS

NVIDIA (NASDAQ:NVDA) became the first publicly traded company to hit a US$4 trillion market cap this week.

Meanwhile, Apple (NASDAQ:AAPL) made headlines with a major leadership change as rumors of a lineup of upcoming product releases circulated, and Meta Platforms (NASDAQ:META) deepened ties with one of its hardware partners.

In the chip market, Huawei is trying to capitalize on the gap left by NVIDIA’s chips in China, while a startup is stepping up its efforts to help meet its ambitious plans to expand artificial intelligence (AI) chip delivery to Saudi Arabia.

1. Apple announces leadership shift

On Tuesday (July 8), Apple announced that Jeff Williams, its longtime chief operating officer, will retire at the end of 2025, ending a tenure that spanned decades and included overseeing hardware, software and operations.

“Jeff and I have worked alongside each other for as long as I can remember, and Apple wouldn’t be what it is without him,” said Apple CEO Tim Cook in a press release. “He’s helped to create one of the most respected global supply chains in the world; launched Apple Watch and overseen its development; architected Apple’s health strategy; and led our world-class team of designers with great wisdom, heart, and dedication.’

Williams will be succeeded by Sabih Khan, Apple’s senior vice president of operations, who has played a key role in managing Apple’s global supply chain.

In other Apple news, Bloomberg reported on Wednesday (July 9) that Apple plans to release its first hardware upgrade to the Vision Pro headset later this year. Anonymous sources say the upgrades will include a a new strap for added comfort, will incorporate the same M4 processor powering newer versions of the iPad Pro, MacBook Pri and iMac, and will incorporate a great number of cores in the neural engine to run AI more effectively.

The company is also working on a lighter version slated for release in 2027, according to the people.

The company is planning a series of product upgrades for the first half of 2026, including a new entry-level iPhone 17e, refreshed MacBook Pros and MacBook Airs with M5 chips and potentially a new external display, according to multiple reports this week. Entry-level iPad and iPad Air will reportedly also receive updates.

2. Meta makes eyewear bet

Meta acquired a nearly 3 percent stake in luxury eyewear maker EssilorLuxottica (EPA:EL), the creator of Ray-Bans and the manufacturing partner for Meta’s smart glasses, including the Ray-Ban Meta and Oakley Meta lines. This is according to a Tuesday report from Bloomberg that cites unnamed sources with knowledge of the matter.

The stake is reportedly worth around 3 billion euros. According to the people, Meta is considering increasing its stake to approximately 5 percent “over time,” but noted that the plans could change.

3. Huawei seeks to step in amid US restrictions

Huawei is reportedly developing a new class of AI chips designed to support more generalized AI workloads, according to the Information, which broke the news on July 5.

According to the report, Huawei’s chip will be built around an architecture resembling that of NVIDIA’s GPU architecture (like Hopper or Blackwell) and Advanced Micro Devices’ CDNA architecture (used in their Instinct GPUs), which would allow Chinese developers to seamlessly incorporate the alternative.

Huawei’s pivot reflects China’s broader effort to bolster domestic chip capabilities as export restrictions from the US limit its access to advanced semiconductors. NVIDIA’s highly sought-after Blackwell GPUs are difficult for Chinese developers to legally acquire, leading to the development of downgraded, China-specific versions and a drive by Chinese firms to secure the chips through other means or source high-end alternatives.

Illustrating these efforts, recent Bloomberg analysis reveals ambitious plans by Chinese companies to acquire over 115,000 high-end NVIDIA chips for dozens of new AI data centers rising in the remote desert regions of Yiwu.

4. Harmonic raises US$100 million for ‘Superintelligence’

Harmonic AI, a stealth-mode AI company co-founded by Robinhood (NASDAQ:HOOD) CEO Vlad Tenev, has raised US$100 million in a Series B funding round led by Kleiner Perkins. Sequoia Capital, Index Ventures and Paradigm also participated in the round, which brought the company’s valuation to US$875 million.

Founded in 2023 by Tenev and Tudor Achim, who previously led autonomous driving startup Helm.ai, the startup is focused on building “smarter” AI models using a concept it calls “Mathematical Superintelligence.’

Its flagship model, Aristotle, is being trained to generate answers grounded in formal mathematical logic. On Bloomberg News, Tenev has said the company’s goal was to build AI systems that can solve the type of complex math problems that currently elude chatbots, eventually expanding its capabilities to physics and computer science.

Harmonic also aims to eliminate chatbot hallucinations through formal verification, a mathematical method that guarantees correct AI system function.

The startup wants to make the model available to researchers and the general public later this year.

5. Groq seeks US$6 billion valuation to fuel Saudi AI ambitions

The Information reported on Wednesday that Groq, a US-based AI chip startup and challenger to NVIDIA, is seeking to raise between US$300 million and US$500 million in a new funding round that would value it at US$6 billion.

Groq’s language processing units (LPUs) are known for their fast inferencing technology.

Unlike general-purpose GPUs, which were originally made for graphics and then adapted for AI, Groq’s LPUs were designed specifically to process language.

According to the report, the funding would help Groq fulfill a US$1.5 billion deal to deliver advanced AI chips to Saudi Arabia. With its ambitious Vision 2030, Saudi Arabia is actively pursuing a role as a global AI and technology hub, driving its interest in obtaining cutting-edge chips.

Securities Disclosure: I, Meagen Seatter, hold no direct investment interest in any company mentioned in this article.

This post appeared first on investingnews.com

NorthStar Gaming Holdings Inc. (TSXV: BET,OTC:NSBBF) (OTCQB: NSBBF) (‘NorthStar’ or the ‘Company’) today announced that its Board of Directors approved the grant of equity incentive awards pursuant to the Company’s Equity Incentive Plan (the ‘Plan’).

The Company has granted an aggregate of 5,078,913 deferred share units (‘DSUs’) pursuant to the Plan to non-executive directors of the Company in lieu of cash compensation for their services rendered in 2024. Satisfying the compensation in share-based compensation is part of the Company’s ongoing efforts to reduce costs. The DSUs vest immediately and may only be redeemed upon a holder ceasing to be a director of the Company.

The grant of DSUs is subject to the approval of the TSX Venture Exchange.

About NorthStar

NorthStar proudly owns and operates NorthStar Bets, a Canadian-born casino and sportsbook platform that delivers a premium, distinctly local gaming experience. Designed with high-stakes players in mind, NorthStar Bets Casino offers a curated selection of the most popular games, ensuring an elevated user experience. Our sportsbook stands out with its exclusive Sports Insights feature, seamlessly integrating betting guidance, stats, and scores, all tailored to meet the expectations of a premium audience.

As a Canadian company, NorthStar is uniquely positioned to cater to customers who seek a high-quality product and an exceptional level of personalized service, setting a new standard in the industry. NorthStar is committed to operating at the highest level of responsible gaming standards.

NorthStar is listed in Canada on the TSXV under the symbol BET and in the United States on the OTCQB under the symbol NSBBF. For more information on the company, please visit: www.northstargaming.ca.

No stock exchange, securities commission or other regulatory authority has approved or disapproved the information contained herein. Neither the TSXV nor its Regulation Services Provider (as that term is defined in the policies of the TSXV) accepts responsibility for the adequacy or accuracy of this press release.

Cautionary Note Regarding Forward-Looking Information and Statements

This communication contains ‘forward-looking information’ within the meaning of applicable securities laws in Canada (‘forward-looking statements’), including without limitation, statements with respect to the following: expected performance of the Company’s business, and the timing of the release of the Company’s financial results. The foregoing is provided for the purpose of presenting information about management’s current expectations and plans relating to the future and allowing investors and others to get a better understanding of the Company’s anticipated financial position, results of operations, and operating environment. Often, but not always, forward-looking statements can be identified by the use of words such as ‘plans’, ‘expects’, ‘is expected’, ‘budget’, ‘scheduled’, ‘estimates’, ‘continues’, ‘forecasts’, ‘projects’, ‘predicts’, ‘intends’, ‘anticipates’ or ‘believes’, or variations of, or the negatives of, such words and phrases, or state that certain actions, events or results ‘may’, ‘could’, ‘would’, ‘should’, ‘might’ or ‘will’ be taken, occur or be achieved. This information involves known and unknown risks, uncertainties and other factors that may cause actual results or events to differ materially from those anticipated in such forward-looking statements. This forward-looking information is based on management’s opinions, estimates and assumptions that, while considered by NorthStar to be appropriate and reasonable as of the date of this press release, are subject to known and unknown risks, uncertainties, assumptions and other factors that may cause the actual results, levels of activity, performance, or achievements to be materially different from those expressed or implied by such forward- looking information. Such factors include, among others, the following: risks related to the Company’s business and financial position; risks associated with general economic conditions; adverse industry risks; future legislative and regulatory developments; the ability of the Company to implement its business strategies; and those factors discussed in greater detail under the ‘Risk Factors’ section of the Company’s most recent annual information form, which is available under NorthStar’s profile on SEDAR+ at www.sedarplus.com. Many of these risks are beyond the Company’s control.

If any of these risks or uncertainties materialize, or if the opinions, estimates or assumptions underlying the forward-looking information prove incorrect, actual results or future events might vary materially from those anticipated in the forward-looking statements. Although the Company has attempted to identify important risk factors that could cause actual results to differ materially from those contained in the forward-looking statements, there may be other risk factors not presently known to the Company or that the Company presently believes are not material that could also cause actual results or future events to differ materially from those expressed in such forward-looking statements. There can be no assurance that such information will prove to be accurate, as actual results and future events could differ materially from those anticipated in such information. No forward-looking statement is a guarantee of future results. Accordingly, you should not place undue reliance on forward-looking information, which speaks only as of the date made. The forward-looking information contained in this press release represents NorthStar’s expectations as of the date specified herein, and are subject to change after such date. However, the Company disclaims any intention or obligation or undertaking to update or revise any forward-looking information whether as a result of new information, future events or otherwise, except as required under applicable securities laws.

All of the forward-looking information contained in this press release is expressly qualified by the foregoing cautionary statements.

For further information:

Company Contact:
Corey Goodman
Chief Development Officer 647-530-2387
investorrelations@northstargaming.ca

Investor Relations:
RB Milestone Group LLC (RBMG)
Northstar@rbmilestone.com

To view the source version of this press release, please visit https://www.newsfilecorp.com/release/258672

News Provided by Newsfile via QuoteMedia

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As we navigate the evolving stock market landscape, understanding key sectors and their trends is important, especially during earnings season. This week, the spotlight shines on the Financial sector, with several of the largest banks reporting. Five of the top 10 holdings within the Financial Select Sector SPDR ETF (XLF) are on deck: J.P. Morgan (JPM), Goldman Sachs (GS), Bank of America (BAC), Wells Fargo (WFC), and Morgan Stanley (MS). 

This week we will focus on the Financial sector via XLF and zoom in on one of its top components, Goldman Sachs.

The Financial Sector: A Technical Look at XLF

XLF has been outperforming the S&P 500 ($SPX), experiencing new all-time highs, and has been a leading sector in the most recent market rebound.

Now that all banks that were susceptible to the Fed’s stress test have passed with flying colors, questions loom about whether less stringent regulations will lead to more growth. The sector has not experienced much M&A activity, and the IPO market has yet to come back to a healthy level of activity. However, there is hope that a banking renaissance is on the horizon, and maybe this quarter will give a rosier outlook than more recent forecasts.

Technically, XLF looks promising. Shares broke out to new all-time highs ahead of earnings and are now set up with good risk/reward potential for investors. 

The pattern from which it broke out is a bit of a wonky head-and-shoulders pattern. I’d call this a stretch as it isn’t picture perfect, but the price image presented is close enough to set parameters to trade. 

The breakout on a gap to new highs is extremely bullish, and that gap level could be used as a stop-loss to the downside, worst case should be the rising 50-day moving average. Buyers should come back into the sector there on a dip.

Goldman Sachs (GS): A Bellwether

Goldman Sachs, the largest component in the price-weighted Dow Jones Industrial Average, reports results on Wednesday morning just days after hitting all-time highs. Investors will be looking for any commentary focused on tariffs and margins. 

Has there been any impact on their results, or have concerns about inflation been overblown? Any earnings pressure on their bottom line could cause ripple effects throughout other sectors like industrials, materials, and technology. 

Shares declined 33% then rallied 65% from their April 7 lows. Shares may need a breather as they are overbought, but that’s where opportunity may lie. Wouldn’t chase it just yet. I would own for the long term, but price action could be very interesting when they report next week. 

One bold prediction — look for a possible stock split announcement. Since their debut in 1999, shares have never split. Seeing the recent price surge and its size in the Dow, that option should be on the table. 

Technically, shares have been on a tremendous run as they’ve rallied 65% from their April 7 lows. Shares may need a breather as they are overbought, but that may be where the opportunity lies when they report next week. 

The stock has rallied with a series of gaps along the way. Those gaps tell a story, and it’s worth watching the most recent gap from $690 to $700. Each jump higher has not experienced a full retracement — a gap fill, if you will.

The gaps higher have been very bullish. The first large gap — a breakaway gap — started the main part of this rally. We have seen a series of smaller gaps that helped extend the rally. Now, we may be tiring. Watch the $690 level to see if that gap can hold. If it can’t, then there may be more selling pressure over the near term. 

A healthy pullback given the strong bull run is likely, but buyable. A break below $690 could see a swift move lower to the $665 level. If things turn negative, then the rising 50-day moving average, which coincides with a key Fibonacci retracement level just below $620 would be an ideal entry point from a risk/reward perspective. 

The good news is that any weakness in the stock looks like it should be met with great opportunities to enter the name. The long-term trend is up, and the momentum is there not only in the stock but within the sector. The long-term trader shouldn’t fret earnings; the swing trader may get an opportunity to buy a dip from an overbought condition. The bad news would be that the stock gaps higher again and continues its upward trajectory. 

Beyond Financials: Johnson & Johnson (JNJ)

While financials take center stage, we want to touch upon another significant company reporting this week: Johnson & Johnson (JNJ).

JNJ shares have remained relatively flat for the better part of five years. Much of the earnings focus will be on plans to navigate patent expirations. 

Merck acquired Verona last week. The patent cliff will continue to be a hot topic for the entire pharma industry. As for JNJ, it’s confronting the expiration of exclusivity on Stelara, its $10B+ immunology blockbuster drug. The exclusivity expires first in Europe this year and then in the U.S. in 2026.

As for reaction to earnings, don’t expect too much activity. The average move post-results has been +/- 2.05%. Shares have traded lower after five of the last seven times. Shares of the Dow stock are up 8% year-to-date and -9% off their highs.

Technically, there isn’t much to see here. We backed it out to look at price in a five-year weekly range to illustrate that point.

Shares have been in a wide range between roughly $138 to $168 over this lengthy span. Yes, I yawned when I typed this out — it’s that boring. We don’t expect much to change, but there are small setups for a shorter-term swing trader.

The stock, while breaking above the midpoint of this longer-term range, is forming a bullish ascending triangle and has, albeit tight, risk/reward parameters for those looking to trade. 

To the downside, look for the continued near-term uptrend to hold and find support right at the 200-day moving average just below $153. A good entry point in which one could manage risk. 

To the upside, a break above $158 could take shares to their recent highs and slowly and steadily towards the $168 level. The set-up is far from ideal when looking at the longer-term action, but near term, there could be a quick play and maybe, just maybe, shares can finally escape the longer-term neutral range. 


The S&P continues to push higher, with the equity benchmark almost reaching 6300 this week for the first time in history. With so many potential macro headwinds still surrounding us, how can the market continue to reflect so much optimism? On the other hand, when will bulls wake up and realize that this market is obviously overextended and rotate significantly lower?

With the S&P 500 once again achieving new all-time highs, and with Q2 earnings just around the corner, I thought it would be a perfect time to revisit an exercise in probabilistic analysis. Basically, I’ll lay out four different scenarios for the S&P 500 index between now and late August. Which path do you see as the most likely and why? Watch the video, check out the first scenarios, and then cast your vote!

By the way, we last ran this analytical process on the S&P 500 back in May, and check out which scenario actually played out!

And remember, the point of this exercise is threefold:

  1. Consider all four potential future paths for the index, think about what would cause each scenario to unfold in terms of the macro drivers, and review what signals/patterns/indicators would confirm the scenario.
  2. Decide which scenario you feel is most likely, and why you think that’s the case. Don’t forget to drop me a comment and let me know your vote!
  3. Think about how each of the four scenarios would impact your current portfolio. How would you manage risk in each case? How and when would you take action to adapt to this new reality?

Let’s start with the most optimistic scenario, with the S&P 500 index continuing the recent uptrend phase to retest all-time highs by June.

Option 1: The Super Bullish Scenario

The most bullish scenario would involve the S&P 500 continuing a similar trajectory that we’ve seen off the April low. Growth continues to dominate, tariffs remain essentially a non-issue, volatility remains lower, and the market moves onward and ever upward!

Dave’s Vote: 10%

Option 2: The Mildly Bullish Scenario

What if the uptrend continues, but at a much slower rate? The “mildly bullish scenario” would mean the S&P 500 probably tops out around 6300-6400 but doesn’t get any further. Perhaps a leadership rotation emerges, and technology stocks start to pull back as investors rotate to other sectors and themes. Lack of upside momentum from the largest growth names slows the uptrend in a big way.

Dave’s vote: 30%

Option 3: The Mildly Bearish Scenario

Maybe “the top” is already in, and even though July is traditionally a strong month, we see a corrective move into August that brings the S&P 500 down to the 200-day moving average. Bulls and bears would probably feel quite vindicated here, as bulls would see this as a healthy pullback, and bears would see this as a serious wake up call for investors.

Dave’s vote: 45%

Option 4: The Very Bearish Scenario

We always need a doomsday scenario, and here we’ll describe how the S&P 500 could go back down to retest the May price gap. If Q2 earnings season becomes all about companies reflecting on a significantly negative impact from potential tariffs, and investors begin to not just complain about overvalued stocks but actually start selling as a result, we could certainly see a downside move to retrace about 38.2% of the April to July uptrend phase.

Dave’s vote: 15%

What probabilities would you assign to each of these four scenarios? Check out the video below, and then drop a comment on which scenario you select and why!

RR#6,

Dave

PS- Ready to upgrade your investment process?  Check out my free behavioral investing course!

David Keller, CMT

Chief Market Strategist

StockCharts.com

Disclaimer: This blog is for educational purposes only and should not be construed as financial advice.  The ideas and strategies should never be used without first assessing your own personal and financial situation, or without consulting a financial professional.  

The author does not have a position in mentioned securities at the time of publication.    Any opinions expressed herein are solely those of the author and do not in any way represent the views or opinions of any other person or entity.

If you’re serious about trading or investing, establishing a weekly market routine is a must. But where do you begin?  

In this eye-opening video, Grayson Roze, Chief Strategist at StockCharts, shares the method he uses every week to stay aligned with the market’s biggest drivers — the top 25 stocks by market cap

Learn how to build a customized ChartList of these stocks, sort the stocks by market cap, and different ways to review them to spot long-term trends or reversals.

Whether you’re new to charting or a seasoned technician, this routine could transform how you view the market. 

This video originally premiered on July 11, 2025. Click on the above image to watch on our dedicated Grayson Roze page on StockCharts TV.

You can view previously recorded videos from Grayson at this link.

Up to this point, the S&P 500 ($SPX) has now stayed above the 6,200-mark for eight straight days. The upside follow-through has been limited, but the drawdown has also been shallow. The onus continues to be on the bears to do something with the stretched state. We discuss this in terms of the CappThesis Market Strength Indicator below.

What Is the Market Strength Indicator (MSI)?

When the market makes strong moves, like they have recently, I like to review our Market Strength Indicator (MSI).  This isn’t some secret, proprietary formula. It’s a simple blend of trend, oscillator indicators, and patterns, factors that we base our market stance upon.

And surprise, surprise, the MSI is as bullish as can be with the SPX at new highs and up 30% in three months.

  1. The S&P 500 is trading above each moving average, and each moving average is sloping higher.
  2. The 14-day Relative Strength Index (RSI) and Williams %R are both overbought. We use both of these since it takes a considerable up move to get the RSI to overbought territory. And while the Williams %R swings to extremes much more easily, it can only stay overbought if the market continues to tick higher with minimal drawdowns. Clearly, all of this has been happening.
  3. And, of course, two big pattern breakouts remain in play. Two weeks ago, the MSI was even more extreme when we had four patterns in play at the same time.

Here are each of those indicators together on one chart. (We don’t show the patterns here since it would be way too much to display all at once – and that would be an offensive chart crime.)

The clear next question:

Now what?

Market Strength Indicator Now vs. April 7, 2025

First, the obvious. The MSI was completely depressed on April 7 after two months of intense selling and extreme volatility.

Interestingly, though, after that last massive downside gap on April 7, the final bearish pattern target was hit. That set the stage for a bottoming process to potentially begin.

With the pendulum now having completely swung from historically oversold to now extended, does a very bullish MSI suggest the upswing is unsustainable?  

Bulls and bears agree on one thing these days: The pace of the last three months can’t continue, and at any time, a pullback greater than the 3.5% drop from mid-May is going to happen. It’s just a matter of when. 

Now let’s look at the recent times when the MSI got to extreme levels like now.

Market Strength Indicator Now vs. 2023–24

The results are crystal clear. “Extreme” MSI readings are the result of strong technicals, which occur in uptrends. And uptrends tend to last longer than many think is possible or probable.

From this perspective, only once did a correction begin right after a high MSI reading – in July’24. At the time, though, only one bullish pattern was in play (the one with the long-term 6,100 target that was triggered way back in Jan’24). 

Now, of course, we have two live bullish formations, and for the uptrend to persist without a major market disturbance, we’ll need to see the next bout of profit-taking morph into the next set of short-term bullish formations.

Live Patterns

Our two live patterns remain – targets of 6,555 and 6,745, which could be with us for a while going forward. For those to eventually be achieved, though, new, smaller versions will need to be constructed.

Live Patterns

Our two live patterns remain – targets of 6,555 and 6,745, which could be with us for a while going forward. For those to eventually be achieved, though, new, smaller versions will need to be constructed.

Here’s a quick recap of the crypto landscape for Friday (July 11) as of 9:00 a.m. UTC.

Get the latest insights on Bitcoin, Ethereum and altcoins, along with a round-up of key cryptocurrency market news.

Bitcoin and Ethereum price update

Bitcoin (BTC) is priced at US$118,008 a 6.3 percent increase in the last 24 hours. The day’s range for the cryptocurrency brought a low of US$110,768 and a high of US$118,667.

Bitcoin price performance, July 11, 2025.

Chart via TradingView

Ethereum (ETH) is priced at US$3,003.27, up by 7.4 percent over the past 24 hours. Its lowest valuation as of Friday was US$2,767.71, and its highest was US$3,027.12.

Altcoin price update

  • Solana (SOL) was priced at US$163.68, up by 5.3 percent over 24 hours. Its lowest valuation as of Friday was US$156.41, and its highest was US$166.09.
  • XRP was trading for US$2.59, up 10 percent in the past 24 hours. The cryptocurrency’s lowest valuation was US$2.43, and its highest was US$2.69.
  • Sui (SUI) is trading at US$3.50, up by 7.9 percent over the past 24 hours. Its lowest valuation was US$3.22 and its highest was US$3.54.
  • Cardano (ADA) is priced at US$0.7123, up by 18.4 percent in the last 24 hours. Its lowest valuation as of Friday was US$0.6233, and its highest was US$0.7521.

Today’s crypto news to know

Bitcoin hits US$118,000 as ETF inflows surge and US crypto legislation advances

Bitcoin shattered previous records by surging past US$118,000 this week, with bullish momentum sustained by large inflows into spot bitcoin ETFs and favorable policy signals from Washington.

The world’s largest cryptocurrency jumped over 7 percent Friday, closing in on US$119,000 as investors cheered bipartisan Senate passage of the GENIUS Act—a bill that would establish regulatory guardrails for stablecoins.

Market optimism is also supported by a softer US dollar and the Trump administration’s overt crypto friendliness.

The GENIUS Act would codify requirements for fiat-pegged stablecoins, offering investor protections while legitimizing the sector in the eyes of institutional capital. ETFs tracking Bitcoin have posted record volumes, drawing billions in net inflows.

Bitcoin is now up over 26 percent year-to-date, with total crypto market capitalization nearing US$3.5 trillion.

Analysts expect next week’s “crypto week” in Congress to further catalyze sentiment, as lawmakers debate multiple digital asset bills.

Trump-linked WLFI Token gets US$100M buy from anonymous entity

A little-known group called Aqua 1 Foundation became the largest public investor in Donald Trump’s World Liberty Financial (WLFI) crypto token, buying US$100 million worth of tokens in late June.

According to Reuters, though the foundation says it is based in the UAE, public records offered no clarity on the group’s financial backers or its supposed founder Dave Lee.

The token purchase directly benefits the Trump family, which reportedly receives 75 percent of all WLFI proceeds; the family’s estimated crypto earnings have now topped US$500 million.

While Aqua 1 said in a brief statement it was backed by ‘mission-aligned partners,’ it declined to offer transparency on its structure, citing privacy. US ethics experts have raised concerns over potential conflicts of interest, despite the White House stating Trump’s assets are in a trust managed by his children.

World Liberty and Trump Media did not respond to press inquiries.

EU regulator warns crypto firms over misleading investors

The European Securities and Markets Authority (ESMA) warned crypto platforms against blurring the distinction between regulated and unregulated products under MiCA, the EU’s new crypto framework.

ESMA said that many crypto firms are offering both compliant and non-compliant services on the same platform, creating investor confusion and undermining MiCA’s consumer protections.

Under MiCA, only firms licensed as crypto asset service providers (CASPs) are allowed to market specific financial products across the EU.

However, direct investments in commodities or crypto lending still fall outside the scope of those protections. ESMA also criticized some firms for using their regulated status as a marketing tactic to legitimize riskier services.

Securities Disclosure: I, Giann Liguid, hold no direct investment interest in any company mentioned in this article.

Securities Disclosure: I, Meagen Seatter, hold no direct investment interest in any company mentioned in this article.

This post appeared first on investingnews.com